A year from 2012 election, U.S. electorate is frustrated
One year out from the 2012 election, President Obama faces the most difficult reelection environment of any White House incumbent in two decades. But public disaffection with the party and a muddled battle for the GOP nomination leave open the possibility that Republicans will not be able to capitalize on the conditions that have put the president on the defensive. These conclusions are drawn from a Post-ABC News poll and from interviews with officials, strategists and advisers.
Geographically, the election will be won or lost in roughly a dozen states, beginning with most of those Obama took away from the Republicans in his first election but including a handful of traditional battlegrounds that may be more competitive than in 2008. Independents, as well as the coalition of African Americans, Latinos, younger voters and suburbanites that backed Obama in 2008, will again be key.
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